BTC Price Prediction: Will Bitcoin Reclaim $100K Amidst Market Turbulence?

#BTC

• Technical Bottom Forming: Oversold Bollinger Band position and MACD crossover suggest impending rebound
• Institutional Dichotomy: ETF outflows countered by corporate buying (MicroStrategy) and miner HODLing
• Cyclical Parallels: Current consolidation mirrors 2020's $9K-$12K range before breakout

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Key Indicators Point to Potential Rebound

According to BTCC financial analyst Ava, Bitcoin's current price of $102,104.64 sits below its 20-day moving average ($107,990.95), suggesting short-term bearish pressure. However, the MACD shows a bullish crossover with the histogram at +1,430.90, indicating growing momentum. Bollinger Bands reveal price hovering NEAR the lower band ($99,706.06), often a precursor to mean reversion toward the middle band ($107,990.95).

Market Sentiment: Institutional Moves and Whale Activity Create Divergence

Ava notes conflicting signals from recent headlines: While ETF outflows ($558M) and long-term holder selling (300K BTC) weigh on sentiment, institutional interest persists (MicroStrategy doubling down, miners pivoting to AI). The $90K-$110K consolidation range appears to be attracting both profit-taking and accumulation.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $558 Million Amid Market Consolidation

Bitcoin's price hovers near $103,000 as the market digests a significant $558 million outflow from spot ETFs—the third-largest single-day redemption in history. Analyst Crypto Rover notes the bearish signal coincides with BTC's dominance holding steady at 59%, underscoring its resilience despite institutional pullback.

Data from SoSoValue reveals November 7 saw the steepest withdrawals since 2025, with redemptions spiking alongside BTC's recent price surge. 'ETF narratives and Treasury adoption must resurge for bullish momentum to continue,' observes Rover, highlighting the divergence between price action and institutional sentiment.

Bitcoin Mirrors Past Market Cycles as Institutional Investors Take the Lead

Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating within a tight range, exhibiting behavior reminiscent of previous market cycles that often preceded significant price movements. Institutional investors are accumulating BTC while retail traders retreat, creating a stark divide between long-term holders and short-term speculators.

Analysts note a symmetrical triangle pattern forming on Bitcoin's chart, signaling a potential breakout in either direction. Price action remains range-bound, with each bounce met with selling pressure and dips finding support. Crypto Rover highlights dwindling retail interest despite sustained trading volume, while institutional inflows continue to rise.

Bitcoin Faces Complex Correction as Market Eyes $90K–$110K Range

Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase, with analysts eyeing a potential retracement toward $96,800. Momentum indicators remain bearish, signaling limited short-term recovery. The debate among experts centers on whether the correction follows an ABC or WXY pattern as BTC approaches a critical pivot point.

Darkfost, a noted market analyst, highlights that corrective waves often retrace 50% of prior gains, placing key support near $96,800. Bitcoin currently consolidates around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level of Phase A, suggesting Wave C may extend further before completion. On-chain data reveals persistent trader uncertainty, with long-term holder selling pressure capping rebound potential.

The daily RSI has dipped below 50, indicating further possible declines before stabilization. Technical weakness is evident as the 21 and 50 EMAs trend downward toward a potential cross below the 200 EMA. The $107,500–$110,500 zone emerges as crucial resistance—reclaiming this area would signal a genuine bullish reversal.

Bitcoin Price Under Threat as Long-Term Holders Liquidate Stash

Bitcoin faces mounting selling pressure as original whale wallets unload holdings accumulated since January. Transactions exceeding 1,000 BTC have occurred hourly according to Glassnode data, with some individual moves surpassing hundreds of millions in dollar value.

The sustained divestment has triggered an 18.7% retreat from recent highs, with technical charts suggesting potential downside toward $89,600. Market participants remain divided on motives—routine profit-taking competes with theories about custody migrations or quantum-resistant repositioning.

Despite the outflow, Bitcoin's market structure demonstrates notable resilience. The asset continues finding buyers willing to absorb whale supply, preventing disorderly price action. This dynamic suggests underlying institutional demand remains intact even amid volatility.

Bitcoin Privacy Developer Sentenced to 5 Years in Prison, Raising Crypto Concerns

Keonne Rodriguez, co-founder of Samourai Wallet, received a five-year prison sentence on November 6, 2025, marking one of the harshest penalties in crypto privacy tool development. U.S. District Judge Denise Cote imposed the maximum term for conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money-transmitting business, alongside a $250,000 fine. The ruling mandates that half of Rodriguez’s prison earnings and a quarter of his post-release income will go toward the penalty—a rare enforcement measure. His co-founder, William Lonergan Hill, faces sentencing later this month.

Samourai Wallet, a Bitcoin privacy app, enabled users to obscure transaction trails via features like Whirlpool and Ricochet. Prosecutors allege the platform facilitated over $2 billion in transactions, including $100 million tied to money laundering. The case underscores growing regulatory scrutiny of privacy-focused crypto tools, with implications for developers and the broader ecosystem.

MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet and Market Shifts: Chanos Exits Short, Saylor Doubles Down

James Chanos, the veteran short-seller known for his bearish bets, has closed his high-profile short position against MicroStrategy (MSTR). The trade, which netted returns between 15% and 35%, became untenable as MSTR's premium to its Bitcoin holdings collapsed from 2.5x to just 1.17x. With MicroStrategy now valued at $76 billion and holding over 641,000 BTC, its stock moves in lockstep with Bitcoin's price action. Chanos' exit signals diminishing short-side pressure, potentially clearing the way for a new phase in the market.

Meanwhile, MicroStrategy executive chairman Michael Saylor amplified bullish sentiment with a viral "₿uy Now" post. His timing coincided with Bitcoin testing resistance near $111,000. The company continues its aggressive accumulation strategy, recently raising $700 million via preferred stock to fund additional purchases. For Saylor, Bitcoin represents more than an asset—it's a foundational treasury strategy and hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty.

Bitcoin Miners Diversify Revenue Streams with AI Partnerships Amid Bear Market

Seventy percent of top Bitcoin miners are now leveraging artificial intelligence to offset bear market pressures. Seven of the ten largest miners by hashrate report active AI or high-performance computing ventures generating revenue, while the remaining three are preparing similar initiatives.

The strategy repurposes mining infrastructure—energy assets and network connectivity—to support GPU-based workloads under long-term contracts. This creates a secondary revenue stream that competes directly with full-capacity ASIC operations.

TeraWulf's 200-megawatt deal with Fluidstack, partially guaranteed by Google, establishes a new financial benchmark at $1.85 million per MW annually. Core Scientific expands its 12-year HPC collaboration with CoreWeave, while Bitdeer and Iris Energy operate commercial AI clouds on Nvidia hardware.

CleanSpark's recent acquisition of 271 acres in Texas signals preparations for the next infrastructure wave. The pivot toward AI hosting is reshaping investor expectations, with contracted revenue now supplementing volatile cryptocurrency rewards.

OG Bitcoin Whales May Not Be Cashing Out Despite On-Chain Moves

Recent on-chain data suggesting that early Bitcoin whales are exiting their positions has dominated market narratives. Analysts like Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments point to a surge in large BTC transactions—some exceeding $500 million—from addresses dormant for over seven years. "OG Bitcoin whales are dumping," Edwards concluded, citing over 1 million BTC moved since June.

Yet skepticism emerges. Willy Woo highlights nuances in the metrics, arguing that on-chain activity alone doesn’t confirm capitulation. The sustained selling pressure, noted by Alex Krüger as lasting nearly 12 months, contrasts with prior cycles but may reflect broader institutional shifts rather than pure profit-taking. "Sentiment is horrible," remarked Horizon’s Joe Consorti, observing TradFi giants like JP Morgan displacing Bitcoin’s early adopters.

The debate underscores a pivotal question: Are these transactions strategic redistributions or genuine exits? The answer could redefine Bitcoin’s market structure in its post-halving era.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Hidden Bullish Divergence Signals Potential Rebound to $110K

Bitcoin shows signs of a strong rebound as a hidden bullish divergence emerges on its Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting weakening bearish pressure and potential trend continuation. The cryptocurrency currently trades near $101,724, up 0.46% over the past 24 hours, while institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs remain steady.

Market analyst Mister Crypto highlights the RSI divergence as evidence of underlying buying strength, even as prices retest local lows. Macro liquidity expectations further reinforce the bullish outlook, though short-term volatility persists. Analysts note potential liquidity sweeps between $98,500 and $99,700 before a relief bounce.

Crypto Stocks Hit Hard in a Volatile Week as Market Pressure Mounts

Crypto-linked equities faced steep declines this week, mirroring broader digital asset market weakness. Coinbase shares tumbled over 9%, while Jack Dorsey's Block Inc. plummeted 14% and Robinhood Markets extended its downward trajectory.

The selloff reflects compounding pressures: September's $19 billion liquidation event continues to reverberate, government shutdown uncertainties weigh on risk assets, and corporate earnings fail to provide stability. Market sentiment gauges show extreme fear, with the Fear and Greed Index hitting 20.

This correlation between crypto-native firms and underlying digital assets underscores the sector's interconnected nature. As Bitcoin struggles to hold $26,000, public companies serving crypto markets find themselves caught in the downdraft.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Dump 300K BTC As Confidence Wanes

Bitcoin struggles to maintain its footing above $100,000 as weakening demand and sustained selling pressure from long-term holders weigh on the market. The cryptocurrency has slipped below critical support levels, failing to reclaim the short-term holder cost basis of $112,500—a threshold historically indicative of renewed bullish momentum.

ETF outflows and cautious options activity reflect eroding investor conviction. On-chain metrics reveal moderate losses, with 71% of circulating supply still in profit—hovering near the lower bound of mid-cycle equilibrium ranges. Structural support now rests at $88,500, a level frequently tested during prolonged corrections.

The market faces a pivotal juncture. Previous cycles saw similar conditions precede relief rallies, but sustained erosion of profitable supply could deepen the bearish phase. Glassnode data shows long-term holders distributing 300K BTC since October, compounding downward pressure as Bitcoin posts an 11% decline over the period.

Will BTC Price Hit 100000?

Key metrics suggest a high probability of BTC retesting $100K:

Ava highlights the hidden bullish divergence on lower timeframes, with critical support at $99.7K. A daily close above $103.5K could accelerate toward $107.9K (20 MA).

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